Saturday, 7 March 2015

At long last, Dow gets a taste for Apple

Apple Inc, the largest U.S. company by market value, will join the Dow Jones industrial average, replacing AT&T Inc, in a change that reflects the dominant position of the iPhone maker in the U.S. consumer economy.

The decision to nudge aside AT&T, which has been part of the Dow for the better part of a century, is a recognition of how communications and technology have evolved. It's also a marker of Apple's transformation, from a struggling company with a small, fervent following two decades ago, into the nation's predominant consumer tech company.

"This is a sign of the times, and it might get everyone to look at the Dow more than they have been," said Richard Sichel, who oversees $2 billion as chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co. "It would be difficult to pick any 30 companies that would cover the entire economy, especially compared with the S&P 500, but it does give the Dow more credibility."

The action, by S&P Dow Jones Indices, had been widely expected since Apple split its shares seven-for-one in June of last year.

AT&T declined to comment on its removal from the average, of which it has been a member for most of the last 100 years. The stock was added to the Dow in 1916, the year after the first-ever transcontinental telephone call. It was removed in 2004, but after SBC Communications renamed itself AT&T following a 2005 merger, it was reinstated.

"It was a new way of life: telephones, back then 100 years ago, these talking machines," said Howard Silverblatt, index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "Back then, AT&T was it, end of story."

TWIST OF FATE

After Apple's stock split, many investors felt it was only a matter of time before the company, whose high stock price had previously made it unsuitable for the price-weighted index, would join it.

The Dow industrials is the oldest U.S. stock average, first published in 1896. Its compact size - just 30 names - and its mission to reflect the U.S. economy means that many retail investors are more familiar with it than other indexes covering a broader cross-section of the market.

Even though professional managers generally benchmark against the S&P 500, additions and removals from the Dow are still a big event on Wall Street. It was last altered in September 2013 when Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Visa Inc and Nike Inc were added.

Apple did not respond to requests for comment. The company has a market capitalization of $737 billion, making it twice the size of the second-largest Dow component, Exxon Mobil Corp .

Shares of Apple rose 0.15 percent to $126.60 on Friday, while those of AT&T fell 1.5 percent to $33.48.

In a twist of fate, Apple owes some of its success to its partnership with AT&T over the iPhone, the device that propelled Apple's dominance. The iPhone first hit the market in 2007 with AT&T as its exclusive carrier, a deal that continued for more than three years.

Since the iPhone's introduction, Apple's annual revenue has risen more than sevenfold, from $24.6 billion in 2007 to $182.8 billion most recently. AT&T saw 11 percent revenue growth over the same period to $132.4 billion in 2014.

"There's irony in that they are replacing AT&T, which helped them lift off to begin with," said Neil Azous, founder of Stamford, Connecticut-based advisory firm Rareview Macro.

Despite Apple's size, as of Thursday's close it would only have a 4.66 percent weighting in the Dow because of its price, the index company said. Apple will join the average after the close of trading on March 18.

Most of the assets indexed to the Dow industrials do so through the S&P Dow Jones Industrials exchange-traded fund , commonly known as the "Dow Diamonds." It had about $12.5 billion in assets as of Thursday. By comparison, more than $1.9 trillion in assets track the S&P, including mutual funds and ETFs.

Kevin Landis, chief investment officer of Firsthand Capital Management, a Silicon Valley-based technology-investing specialist with $300 million in assets under management, said he hopes that this is not a sign that Apple is past its prime.

"The Dow Jones is such a backwards-looking list, I cringed when Intel and Microsoft were added," Landis said. "I'm cringing today. Let's hope Apple can defy the forces of history."

Intel and Microsoft joined the average in November 1999, and their performance was weak for years following.

Texas man jailed for sending harassing emails to Yahoo CEO

A man previously convicted of harassing Yahoo Inc Chief Executive Officer Marissa Mayer has been arrested by Austin police on suspicion of sending her sexually graphic emails, according to police records released on Friday.

Gregory Calvin King, 30, was booked on Thursday into the Travis County Jail with bond set at $100,000. No lawyer was listed for him, according to online records.

He was charged with stalking, a second-degree felony that can carry a punishment of two to 20 years in jail.

King was sentenced in a California court in 2012 to three years probation for harassing Mayer. His probation was revoked after he was found to have violated its provisions and in 2014 King was ordered to be sent to a federal prison, according to court records.

After his release in February, King sent more than 60 messages to Mayer from several locations in the Texas capital, including "unwanted and sexually graphic emails," a police arrest affidavit said.

King had also been under surveillance by security personnel for Sunnyvale, California-based Yahoo since he entered Austin, it said.

Wall St ends lower as jobs data may bring rate hike sooner

U.S. stocks closed lower on Friday and the S&P 500 declined for a second straight week after a strong monthly jobs report as investors bet that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates sooner than previously expected.

Some of the worst-hit stocks were utilities and real estate investment trusts as they are high-yielding investments which would look less attractive after a rate hike.

The S&P and the Dow, which accelerated their declines as the day wore on, were under additional pressure because they had hit records earlier in the week after a strong February.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose 295,000 last month, topping estimates for a gain of 240,000, after a downwardly revised 239,000 increase in January. The unemployment rate fell to 5.5 percent from 5.7 percent in January.

The strong report, seen as a gauge for the timing of the Fed's first rate hike in years, may put pressure on the Fed to move soon, said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas.

"You have to think that report makes the likelihood of a June rate increase somewhat higher," said Frederick.

The S&P extended its losses as the session wore on having found little support after it fell below its two-week intraday low, according to Frank Cappelleri, technical market analyst at Instinet, a Nomura company, in New York.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 278.94 points, or 1.54 percent, to 17,856.78, the S&P 500 lost 29.78 points, or 1.42 percent, to 2,071.26 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 55.44 points, or 1.11 percent, to 4,927.37.

For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.6 percent while the Dow slid 1.5 percent and the Nasdaq dropped 0.7 percent. The S&P and the Dow both ended the day more than 2 percent lower than their March 2 records. The S&P saw its biggest percentage decline since early January on Friday.

In a shakeup of the Dow Jones industrial average, Apple Inc , the largest U.S. company by market value, will join the index this month, replacing AT&T Inc. Apple shares rose 0.15 percent at $126.60 after rising as high as $129.37 while AT&T fell 1.5 percent to $33.48.

"If anything, what that should do is cause the Dow to be more volatile," said Schwab's Frederick, because the Dow is a price-weighted index and Apple has a higher share price than AT&T.

The utilities sector was the worst performing S&P 500 sector with a 3.1 percent decline and the Dow Jones Equity Reit Index finished off 3.2 percent.

About 7.2 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, compared with the 6.4 billion average for the last five sessions, according to data from BATS Global Markets.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by 2,683 to 438, for a 6.13-to-1 ratio on the downside; on the Nasdaq, 1,926 issues fell and 840 advanced for a 2.29-to-1 ratio favoring decliners.

The benchmark S&P 500 index posted 13 new 52-week highs and four new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 67 new highs and 47 new lows.

Smartwatches Play Big At Mobile World Congress

Connected dials on your wrist could be the new tech battleground.

In Barcelona there were plenty of new phones on show – after all they are the raison d'etre of what is nowadays called Mobile World Congress.

But, this year, the device that most people were talking about was technology for your wrist.

Smartbands that record and track your fitness regime are now well established, and there were plenty of new variants on display.

Many manufacturers have extended their capabilities to become phone companions – displaying caller or text information and calendar appointments.

Some have gone a further step and embedded a Sim card in the watch, so it’s an independent way to stay online.

One of the first watches that could partner your Android or iPhone was the Pebble, which began as a Kickstarter project in 2012.

It uses an e-paper screen, like a Kindle, so consumes tiny amounts of electricity and can last a week without needing to be charged.

The funding call back then was quickly exceeded - and this year, history repeated itself.

Last month, Pebble returned to Kickstarter, seeking $500,000 (£332,000) to develop their new watch, which they have called Pebble Time.

And this week at MWC, Eric Migicovsky their charismatic CEO, had a further surprise for supporters and investors.

He announced a second new watch, this time in stainless steel.

Once again Kickstarter surpassed expectations as Pebble received commitments of $1m in just 40 minutes and, at the time of writing, now stands in excess of $16m, with the option open until the end of March.

It is timely that sports firms, jewellers and tech companies got their wares in front of the world’s press when they did, as all this fell just a week ahead of what is expected to be the elephant on your wrist – the new iWatch from Apple.

Announced in September, more details about specification and pricing are likely to be revealed on March 9.

Migicovsky is sanguine about his prospects in the face of such competition, arguing there is room in the market for all.

"It’s incredibly exciting," he says.

"We have been working on this for seven years, and now the world's attention is focusing on smartwatches."

By contrast, there was a very different phone on offer from Huawei, the Chinese electronics giant.

Their new watch was a circular design, 42mm across and takes its aesthetic from classic gentleman's jewellery.

It looks the part too – with a familiar watch face and hand design – even though the whole thing is an optical illusion. In truth, it is just a screen.

Ben Norton, the British designer leading the project, says the features ape a traditional watch "using metal in the case, the top ring, and a single crown … [giving] the phone a very luxury feel".

Of all the new phones on offer in Barcelona, the Samsung Galaxy S6 probably stole the show.

The launch event on Sunday evening was spectacular in its scale, with several thousand analysts, supporters and journalists subjected to a huge light and sound show.

J K Shin, Samsung President and CEO, hailed the new phone.

"We listen to our customers, and learn from our mistakes," he told the packed auditorium - and later celebrated the strength of the phone’s metal casing.

"This phone won’t bend," he said in one of many allusions to the new iPhone 6 and 6+, which are believed to have taken market share away from Samsung.

HTC announced a phone that was barely different from its predecessor.

While similar is size and form, the HTC One M9 has a better processor and a redesigned, simpler user interface.

Now, the Sense UI recognises whether you are at home or in the car, or at the office and reorganises the home screen accordingly.

What to Watch in the Week Ahead and on Monday, March 9

WEEK AHEAD

The steady stream of strong U.S. labor market figures has raised expectations of an acceleration
in plans for interest rate hikes. As a result, the repricing taking place in the bond and forex
markets should continue. Long-dated yields, now at levels not seen in a couple of months, could
continue to push higher, particularly as investors await supply in the form of 3-, 10- and
30-year Treasury auctions. Euro/dollar could break through 1.08 before long. The stock market
has run into a bit of choppiness of late, without further catalysts to push higher as investors
weigh higher short-term rates as well against stronger economic growth.

Analysts expect the U.S. federal government to report $190.5 billion budget deficit on
Wednesday. A day later, the Commerce Department will release the retails sales report. The gauge
of consumer spending is expected to have risen 0.3 percent in the month after a 0.8 percent
decline in January. The labor department will show on Friday that its producer price index for
final demand rose 0.3 percent in February, after dipping 0.8 percent in January. On Tuesday, the
National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index,
while the Commerce Department will report wholesale inventories for January.

Barnes & Noble Inc is expected to report third-quarter revenue below analysts' estimates,
according to Thomson Reuters StarMine. The biggest U.S. book store chain said last month that it
would keep its Nook Digital unit and spin off its college bookstore business, scrapping an
earlier plan to divest a combination of both as it seeks to focus on its core retail business
and expand its online offerings. Barnes & Noble has been struggling with falling book sales and
weak demand for its Nook tablets. Investors will look for details on strategy, the performance
of the core retail book store division and an update to the full-year forecast when the company
reports results on Tuesday.

Crescent Point Energy Corp, Canada's No.3 independent oil producer, releases its fourth-quarter
results and its forecast for 2105 on Tuesday. The company, which focuses on producing oil from
shale fields in Western Canada and the United States, is expected to feel the pinch of the slump
in oil prices.

Shares of cement company Summit Materials Inc, controlled by Blackstone Group LP, are expected
to start trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday. The initial public offering is
expected to be priced at $17-$19 per share, valuing the company at about $1.8 billion at the
higher end of the range. The offering of 22.2 million shares is expected to raise up to $422.2
million. Summit Materials supplies aggregates and produces cement, ready-mixed concrete and
asphalt paving mix. Blackstone's voting power would fall to 59.5 percent from 79.5 percent after
the offering.

Struggling teen apparel retailer Aeropostale Inc is expected to report fourth-quarter revenue
above the average analyst estimate, according to Thomson Reuters StarMine. The retailer said
last month that it might go into the black after two years of losses due to higher traffic,
better margins and lower costs during the holiday shopping season. To fight a persistent slump
in sales, Aeropostale has begun offering newer styles in dresses, tops and jeans, has lowered
its price points and is controlling inventory to be able to discount less. When the mall-based
retailer reports results on Thursday, investors will look for comments on strategy and initial
forecast for 2015.

Penn West Petroleum Ltd reports fourth-quarter results on Thursday. The company has struggled to
lower costs and sell off assets as it seeks to survive weak oil prices that have put its future
at risk.

JA Solar Holdings Co is expected to report a higher fourth-quarter profit, helped by strong
demand for panels, mainly from the world's biggest market, China. The Chinese solar panel maker
had said last year that it would set up plants in North America, among other regions, to avoid
U.S. trade duties. When the company reports results on Thursday, investors will want details
about the plan and related expenses and how the company will be affected by slowing growth in
Japan.

Mexican inflation data will show if a sharp drop in the peso is stoking higher consumer prices,
which could back bets that Mexican policymakers could raise interest rates before the U.S.
Federal Reserve. Industrial output data for January on Friday will show if factory output picked
up after a slump late last year, while a drop in oil output is also expected to have dampened
activity at the start of 2015.

MONDAY MARCH 9

Apple is expected to unveil its smartwatch. The smartwatch will spearhead Apple's initial foray
into the burgeoning field of wearable devices. The company is expected to detail how the device
will work and how it will be different from other smartwatches in the market, such as Samsung's
Galaxy Gear. The largest U.S. company by market value is expected to imprint its
easy-functionality on the smartwatch.

McDonald's Corp reports its last month of same-restaurant sales under the tenure of former CEO
Don Thompson. Investors will be looking for signals that Chief Executive Steve Easterbrook has
new plans for reviving sales.

Apparel retailer Urban Outfitters Inc reports fourth-quarter results. The company released
preliminary results in February, reporting a rise in comparable sales for the first time this
fiscal year. It has been overhauling stores and merchandise at its flagship Urban Outfitters
stores to fight a slump in sales, while continuing to offer fewer discounts at its full-price
Anthropologie and Free People divisions. Apart from the quarterly profit, investors will look
for initial forecast for 2015.

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester speaks on the economic outlook and
monetary policy before the National Association for Business Economics annual Economic Policy
Conference in Washington. (1425/1825) Separately, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President
Richard Fisher speaks on "Reflections on 10 Years at the Fed" before the Founding Director's
Lecture Series at Rice University's Baker Institute for Public Policy in Houston. (1930/2330

Congressional Budget Office releases updated baseline budget estimates and new cost estimates of
insurance coverage provisions of the Affordable Care Act. New baseline will reflect stronger job
growth over the past four months since data was locked for its previous forecast. This may bring
forecast deficits down, helping to grease the path for lawmakers to ease sequester spending
constraints. The event was postponed from Friday, March 6 due to weather conditions.

Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corp releases report on housing starts for February. The
seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts is expected to have declined to 175,000
units from 187,300 units last month, according to analysts. (0815/1315)

Intuit contacted by U.S. DOJ about jump in fraudulent tax filings -AP

Intuit Inc says it has been contacted by the U.S. Department of Justice and other government agencies about a recent increase in fraudulent income tax filings, according to a report by the Associated Press on Friday.

Intuit makes the popular TurboTax software.

Microsoft sues Kyocera over cell phones, seeks U.S. injunction

Microsoft Corp sued Kyocera Corp for patent infringement on Friday, alleging the Japanese company's Duraforce, Hydro and Brigadier cell phone lines violate seven Microsoft patents.

Microsoft asked a Seattle federal judge to impose a U.S. sales injunction against Kyocera's infringing products, according to the lawsuit.

A Kyocera representative could not immediately be reached for comment.

"We respect Kyocera but we believe they need to license the patented technology they are using. We're hopeful this case can be resolved amicably," said Microsoft deputy general counsel David Howard in a statement.

Kyocera's phones run on the Android operating system, developed by Google Inc. Microsoft has secured patent licensing deals with numerous Android handset manufacturers in recent years, including Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, LG Electronics Inc and HTC Corp.

In its lawsuit, Microsoft accuses Kyocera of using patented technology including location services and text messaging.

The case in U.S. District Court, Western District of Washington is Microsoft Technology Licensing LLC vs. Kyocera and Kyocera Communications Inc., 15-346.